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第18章（第1页）

[2]&ot;aricanopion，&ot;wallstreetjournal，septeber16，1999，pa9

[3]seejosephnye，&ot;ascharises，tothersbow?&ot;theenoist，june27，1998，p23

[4]johnarsheir，thetradyofgreatpowerpolitics（newyork，wwnorton，2001），p4

[5]thucydides，historyofthepeloponnesianwar（london:pengu，1972），p62

[6]fenby，willchadoatethe21stcentury?p26

[7]&ot;livguptothetitle，&ot;beijgreview，ay22，2014，p2;danielgross，&ot;yeswecanstillarket:whybrandsreatheworld&39;sostvaable，&ot;thedailybeast，june1，2014

[8]alexandraraphel，&ot;aricanenoicpowerdecle?rethkgthedatathentextofglobalization，&ot;journalist&39;sreurce，february11，2014

[9]neilir，&ot;thisonenuberexpnshowchaistakgovertheworld，&ot;washgtonpost，deceber3，2013;&ot;theonceandfuturecurrency，&ot;theenoist，arch8，2014，p80

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[11]toshiyatsugai，&ot;thefuturegrowthofchaandsecurityeastasia，&ot;paperpresentedtospf-csisjotissiononthe-japanalliance，june24，2013

[12]saroberts，&ot;2025，diatopasschapopulation，estiates，&ot;newyorktis，deceber16，2009

[13]ri插rdcgregor，theparty:thesecretworldofcha&39;sunistrulers（newyork:harperlls，2010），p30

[14]jasstebergandi插elo&39;hanlon，strategicreassuranceandrelve:-charelationstheenty-firstcentury（prceton:prcetonuniversitypress，2014），pp93，184

[15]evanbradenontgory，&ot;ntestedpriacythewesternpacific，&ot;ternationalsecurity38，sprg2014，pp115-149

[16]jaces，whencharulestheworld，p12

[17]davidckang，&ot;hierarchyasianternationalrelations:1300-1900，&ot;asiansecurity，11，2005，pp53-79seealstefanhalper，thebeijgnsens:howcha&39;sauthoritarianodelwilldoatetheenty-firstcentury（newyork:basicbooks，2010）

[18]johnikenberry，&ot;theriseofchaandthefutureofthewest，&ot;foreignaffairs871，januaryfebruary2008，pp23-38

[19]robertkagan，&ot;whatchaknowsthatwedon&39;t:thecaseforanewstrategyofntant，&ot;theweeklystandard，january20，1997robertkaplan，asia&39;scauldron:theuthchaseaandtheendofastablepacific（newyork:randohoe，2014）

[20]stebergando&39;hanlon，strategicreassuranceandrelve，p20

[21]foradetailedanalysis，seebilleott，rivals:howthepowerstrugglebeeencha，diaandjapanwillshapeournextdecade（newyork:harurt，2008）

[22]yanxuetong，&ot;howchacandefeatarica，&ot;newyorktis，noveber21，2011

[23]fareedzakaria，&ot;obaaneedstoleadwithfeelg，&ot;washgtonpost，ay8，2014

[24]carlanorrlofandsionreich，&ot;whatwouldkdleberrsay:theandchaasworldenoicleadersandstabilizers，&ot;unpublishedpaper，2014